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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

We know you aren’t a Democrat but since you seem confused let me help you.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

When you’re a Republican, they let you do it.

Republicans got rid of McCarthy. Democrats chose not to save him.

The real work of an opposition party is to hold the people in power accountable.

So very ready.

Authoritarian republicans are opposed to freedom for the rest of us.

A snarling mass of vitriolic jackals

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

Let’s not be the monsters we hate.

Come on, man.

The National Guard is not Batman.

It’s a good piece. click on over. but then come back!!

People are complicated. Love is not.

Anyone who bans teaching American history has no right to shape America’s future.

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

The lights are all blinking red.

He really is that stupid.

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

Proof that we need a blogger ethics panel.

My years-long effort to drive family and friends away has really paid off this year.

Fight for a just cause, love your fellow man, live a good life.

First beat the republican. Then we can argue about policy issues.

They want us to be overwhelmed and exhausted. Focus. Resist. Oppose.

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Good News Open Thread: Keep Digging, Repubs!

by Anne Laurie|  September 20, 20264:43 pm| 49 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

44 days until election day, Keep Digging

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— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) September 20, 2026 at 3:54 PM

Per Polling USA, “The Democratic Wave Is Growing”:

… Ladies and gentlemen, the Democrats keep pulling ahead post-Labor Day, and the situation at the state level only keeps improving for them. With a Democratic ballot lead of +9.2%, the Republicans are starting to find the floor quickly slipping out beneath them, all while Trump refuses to end an unpopular war or get a handle on gas prices…

In the House, the Democrats rose four seats to end at 242 this week, while Republicans are down four to end at 193, with the Democrats’ likely seat count between 219 and 267, while Republicans are between 168 and 216.

When it comes to strictly tilt-related seats, the Democrats find themselves between 219 and 259 seats, while Republicans are between 168 and 203 seats. That share of nearly 50 whole tilt seats is really making or breaking it for either party, with Democrats being on the positive end of things thus far…

The Senate race remains the same this week, with the Democrats at 52 seats and the Republicans at 48, while the Democrats sit between 50 and 55 seats and the Republicans between 45 and 50 seats…

Finally, the governorships have moved slightly this week, with the Democrats up one seat to 28, while Republicans are down one to 22, that seat being Ohio. Democrats sit between 25 and 29 seats, while Republicans are between 21 and 25 seats…

Lovely graphs at the link.

Nate Silver’s latest Senate polling averages show Democrats ahead in a remarkable number of key races:
🔵 NC: Cooper +8.9
🔵 GA: Ossoff +9.1
🔵 NH: Pappas +5.0
🔵 OH: Brown +4.5
🔵 ME: Jackson +4.2
🔵 MN: Flanagan +2.8
🔵 MI: El-Sayed +2.8
🔵 TX: Talarico +2.7
🔵 AK: Peltola +1.7
🔵 IA: Turek +0.8
#VoteBlue

— Jon Cooper (@joncooper-us.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 9:21 PM

Good News Open Thread: <em>Keep Digging, Repubs!</em>Post + Comments (49)

The Arc de Participation as Nazi flak tower

by Betty Cracker|  September 20, 202612:54 pm| 150 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, General Stupidity

This morning, the demented president shared his sinister plan to build a golden Arc de Participation (explicitly a monument to the draft-dodger himself) as a snipers’ nest and lethal drone port in the middle of our bustling national capital city.

Legal analysts say the admin is highlighting the national security angle because courts are more likely to defer to presidents on that topic. Trump used that same tactic when the corrupt SCOTUS allowed him to proceed with the ballroom he’s illegally constructing on the ruins of the East Wing — he called it a “desperately needed SECURE Ballroom/Military Complex.

But while it probably is a legal dodge, we should take the militarization of the ballroom and arch seriously since the person directing the projects is a bug-fuck crazy autocrat who is desperate to cling to power.

At the strong request of the United States Military, and for National Security purposes, I have agreed to convert the magnificent Triumphal Arch, planned since the Civil War Era many years ago, at the Receptive Circle adjoining the Arlington Memorial Bridge, into a top grade Military Complex/Triumphal Arch, to house, store, and have the rapid ability to use large numbers of drones, plus Snipers, on both the roof and plaza areas, and additionally have and hold large quantities of sniper ammunition in storage. There will be no facility like this anywhere in the World. Out of the 59 top cities and Capitals, Washington, D.C., IS THE ONLY ONE IN THE WORLD THAT DOES NOT HAVE A TRIUMPHAL ARCH, but it will now and, by far, the greatest of them all! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

I haven’t been to DC since the Women’s March on January 21, 2017, but even in that dark time, at the beginning of our long national nightmare, I was struck by how free and open the city was. I’m trying to imagine mingling with hundreds of thousands of fellow protesters under the shadow of lethal drones and monuments bristling with sharp-shooters.

(Brief digression: I think of you folks who live in the capital under a years-long, low-grade military occupation a lot. DC is owed statehood for that alone…)

Earlier this month, Trump gave an interview to New York Magazine’s Ben Terris in which Trump and his staff were surprisingly forthcoming about the ballroom:

A senior White House official tells me Trump views all this building as part of his legacy. “His rush to get it done in this term is so important because it’s something the Democrats would have a hard time taking away or getting rid of,” he says. “When the ballroom is built, everyone will always know in perpetuity that it was built by Donald Trump. Are Democrats going to come in and rip it down? I have a hard time believing that.”

My own opinion is that we need to make a believer of that official by ripping it down. Not just because it was built by Trump but because the gilded monstrosity rising from that pit is an incarnate insult to our republic, a malignant monarchical cyst grafted onto a formerly vital and improving democracy.

But in sharp contrast to the visibly decaying narcissist who ordered the build, the ballroom is meant for the long haul. When asked if Dems might pull the golden shit-pile down, here’s how Trump answered:

“I don’t think they could, physically,” Trump says. “It’s made with the most powerful steel welded together and concrete that is so hard and so strong it’s used in nuclear-power plants. You could take a jackhammer and go to those columns and stand there for two days at full blast and you wouldn’t even see a mark. It’s nuclear concrete. I think it would be very hard. It’s meant for if there’s a nuclear attack. I’m not sure you could take it down.”

He probably envisions something similar for the Arc de Participation. Here’s something I learned by following madness down a Bluesky rabbit hole:

Not that Trump would know even the first thing about them or their history, but the Flak towers still standing in Vienna might well be how they intend to build the arch. war-documentary.info/vienna-flak-…

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— Philbee (@philbeee.bsky.social) June 10, 2026 at 8:27 AM

The link leads to an article on Nazi flak towers built during World War II, which still stand in Vienna.

Unlike most WWII structures, these towers were built to be effectively indestructible — their walls, up to 3.5 metres of reinforced concrete, made postwar demolition too dangerous for the buildings around them, which is why all six still dominate their neighbourhoods today.

So maybe we’ll be stuck with the monuments Trump manages to build to himself long after his decrepit carcass has crumbled to piss-soaked dust in a Miami mausoleum.

That’s a depressing thought. So with that, I’m ready for some football.

Open thread.

The Arc de Participation as Nazi flak towerPost + Comments (150)

Sunday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  September 20, 20267:36 am| 200 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery

I’m thrilled to share my first feature story for American Archaeology magazine.
The article traces the history of North America’s original caffeinated brew — Yaupon holly tea, sometimes called Black Drink — a ceremonial beverage prepared by many Indigenous nations before Europeans contact.

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— Christina Larson (@christina-larson.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 11:53 AM

Caffeine is produced by some plants as a natural form of insect control. (Pesky insects are paralyzed, whereas humans get wired.)
There are only a few caffeinated plants around the world. Coffee is originally from Africa; tea from Asia; cacao from South America; and yaupon holly from North America

— Christina Larson (@christina-larson.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 11:56 AM

Remember when the whca was big mad at joe biden for not being as available as trump?
And how pumped they were when trump got elected again? "We're so back" iirc was the quote in the atlantic

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 11:33 AM

It's definitely some kind of id-gratification, "oh biden isn't giving us what we want, this is so boring and horrible" vs "YES trump is abusing us, this is so THRILLING and EXCITING"
Not pictured: any concept of duty to their readers or public at large

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 11:48 AM

The frictions in Russia's wartime economy are growing as massive military spending balloons the budget deficit.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM

I still have the queasy feeling Trump is going to try some desperate stunt in the closing weeks of campaign season that is self evidently ludicrous, but large swaths of the press will treat seriously. I don't think it will work, but it will nevertheless drive us nuts to watch unfold.

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— Schooley (@schooley.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 10:32 AM

The GOP pretty much has unlimited money if they want to spend it. It's not robbing Peter to pay Paul. Elon can find the money to fund every GOP house seat in his couch cushions if he wants. If they aren't spending it's because they know that at this late date it probably won't do any good

— digby (@digby56.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:13 PM

Weekly wrap of the polls: Yes, Republicans are headed for a bloodbath. But Democrats are still nervous with the exception of a few races. But 2026 is not 2018, and Republicans still have father to fall.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a…

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— Eric Michael Garcia (@ericmgarcia.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 7:58 PM

show full post on front page

Trump is bulldozing JFK's memorial and selling Superman to Saudi Arabia.

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— Zeddy (@zeddary.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:44 PM

Existential emergency! Better threaten to knock down the Kennedy Center and whine about getting on Mount Rushmore.

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— Schooley (@schooley.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:42 PM

You'd think hiding war dead in a hugely unpopular war would be a bigger deal, but there's so much you'd think would be a bigger deal.

— Schooley (@schooley.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM

Keep Hope Alive!

One thing that I think about a lot is in “Wages of Destruction” Tooze describes how the Third Reich didn’t really have a theory about public policy or the economy. They limped from crisis to crisis their entire existence finding emergency stop-gaps to achieve short term priorities.

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— Urban Land Rent ?????? (@urbanlandrent.bsky.social) September 17, 2026 at 11:51 AM

Germany’s political leadership believed in esoteric theories around racial supremacy and ultimately believed good outcomes would naturally flow from Aryan’s natural superiority. This is the same vibe the GOP has in 2026.

— Urban Land Rent ?????? (@urbanlandrent.bsky.social) September 17, 2026 at 11:54 AM

Es kann nur gutes geschehen.

— Nostalgic Android (@toppestfish.bsky.social) September 17, 2026 at 12:04 PM

Sunday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (200)

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens

by Anne Laurie|  September 20, 20264:55 am| 38 Comments

This post is in: Garden Chats

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens
 
A new perspective from master gardener & photographer Mike in Oly:

In June I attended a Judge’s Training event at Cascadia Iris Gardens with my local iris club. We had a great time looking at summer blooming irises and catching up with old friends.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens 1

Cascadia has more than just irises in their garden tho, and I was delighted by several stock water tanks repurposed as bog gardens for growing sarracenias and other carnivorous plants.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens 2

They were so colorful and such interesting architecture for plants.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens 3

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens 4

Some of the clumps were even blooming and the flowers are just as fun and different as the plants themselves. Hoping to recreate this in my own garden soon.

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog Gardens 5

Sunday Morning Garden Chat: Bog GardensPost + Comments (38)

War for Ukraine Day 1,668: You May Not Be Interested in Putin’s World War, But Putin’s World War Is Interested In You

by Adam L Silverman|  September 19, 202610:46 pm| 36 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A black and white cartoon of Popeye's face/head. He is facing to the viewer's left. His right eye is squinted shut and his pipe is sticking out of the right side of his mouth. The speech bubble reads "I yam disgustipated".

I’m still feeling The BLEH, but not quite as bad as yesterday. I’m still just going to run through the basics so I can lie back down. Just so you understand, yesterday I felt so bad that when I made the cucumber, tomato, red onion, and sweet mini peppers salad with homemade basil vinaigrette I forgot to include the tomatoes. I have since rectified the situation.

Also, tomorrow’s update will be real early and real short as Yom Kippur begins at sundown. So I’m going to have the update up before that.

In response to a Russian ship firing flares at a Danish helicopter and nearly hitting it, Denmark is speeding up air defence support for Ukraine.

A new package of $276 million in air defence support was announced yesterday. Thank you Denmark for helping keep Ukrainians safer! 🇩🇰

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 10:50 PM

🇵🇱🇺🇦 Polish Defense Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz:

Missiles are falling, drones are falling one kilometer from the Polish border.

The state interest is supporting a Ukraine that is fighting, so that missiles are intercepted there and do not reach Poland.

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— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 4:03 PM

Trump says Russia has already attacked Ukraine’s allies, and has been doing it for about five years.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:38 AM

If you missed it, Trump leaned back and said “And I think they’ve been doing a great job” to RFK Jr who was standing behind him. The they in that statement is Russia.

❗️NATO Military Chief Giuseppe Cavo Dragone:

For hybrid activities, there is not an automatic Article 5 request because, I mean, they usually stay under the threshold.

I mean, a direct attack is not on the agenda. But a direct attack is an Article 5 request immediately, basically.

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— Savchenko Volodymyr (@savchenkoua.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 9:35 AM

Attacks on helicpocters are direct attacks. Cyberattacks are direct attacks. Drone attacks on civilian aircraft at your airports are direct attacks. Strikes at or near your border crossings are direct attacks. Attempts to cut your undersea cables are direct attacks. Attacks on your defense industrial base are direct attacks. Attempting to run a global assassination program in the US is a direct attack. Keep deluding yourself that by calling them hybrid attacks you are not in the world war that Putin declared at the 2007 Munich Security Conference and, as a result, you don’t have to do anything.

One more point on this tonight, I have no doubt that Putin new that he was delivering agitprop at the 2007 Security Munich Conference when he announced that there was a world war, that it was being waged by the US, the EU, and NATO, and that Russia was the victim being targeted. But he had to say and do something to divert Russians attention from the fact that he, those who had put him into power, his aides and surrogates had purposefully stalled out Russia’s transition so they could loot the country. He had to give them an enemy and it couldn’t be him, the Bratva, the oligarchs, the siloviki, and the heads of the intel services (lot of overlap in all those groups). Nineteen years later, however, I’m pretty sure he’s now high on his own supply and believes it all.

Here’s some of where Ukraine is targeting Russia tonight.

Air alert in Russia 🚨 DroneBomber

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 5:13 PM

President Zelenskyy addressed the participants at the Carpathian Initiative’s Youth Summit today.

😁 What age is youth now? And what law should be passed to make it up to 45? Minister of Youth and Sports – prepare! I really want to be among the youth, – Zelensky.

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:43 PM

President Zelenskyy is a spry 48.

Video below, English write up after the jump.

show full post on front page

The Carpathian Initiative Is About the Future and Development, and Its Youth Dimension Is an Important Part of It – The President at the Carpathian Initiative Youth Congress

19 September 2026 – 22:05

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with participants of the Youth Congress of the Carpathian Integration Initiative (CII), held today in the Ivano-Frankivsk region. Around 250 young people from the Carpathian regions of Ukraine, Romania, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, Poland, and Austria took part in the event.

“I’m very glad that we have this kind of youth engagement, because the Carpathian Initiative is about the future and development. And development is first and foremost about strong, vibrant, energetic people – our young people. So it is clear that youth is an important part of the Carpathian Initiative,” the Head of State said.

During the conversation, the President spoke about Ukraine’s relations with its neighbors, particularly Poland and Hungary. The Head of State emphasized that Ukraine and Poland are friends because, above all, they share common values. According to Volodymyr Zelenskyy, developing joint production, making mutual investments, and taking part in Ukraine’s post-war recovery will bring the two countries even closer. In the President’s view, it is important to build as many bridges as possible with Hungary to bring our countries closer, both at the political level and at the level of people-to-people ties.

The participants also discussed national communities and issues relevant to all countries of the Carpathian region. The Head of State believes that people should be proud that their country is home to many different communities, each of which makes its own cultural, historical, and linguistic contribution.

“We need to work to ensure that there are no problems for national minorities in Ukraine or for Ukrainians who are now minorities in other countries, in our neighboring countries. Because these are the same challenges, the same issues,” Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized.

The participants also discussed the return home of young Ukrainians who left the country because of the war. Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted that whether to return or not is a personal choice for each individual. But, in the President’s view, the opportunity to return will depend on security, the economy, and love for Ukraine.

“Security and the economy are priorities. When the war ends, I’m confident that people will return. It will depend on how they were raised, on parents who made sure their children did not forget Ukraine. And, of course, it will depend on rebuilding the country, the conditions for doing business, and jobs – on whether people can find themselves, find a place for themselves. The war came, and everyone made their own choice. This was especially true in the first days of the war. And I think each person will likewise make their own choice in the first days after the war ends. Everyone needs to work to bring the war to an end,” the Head of State said.

The participants also discussed favorable government programs that help young people purchase their own homes. According to the President, Ukraine has many such programs for students, young families, Ukraine’s defenders and veterans, and their families. It is important for the Cabinet of Ministers to communicate more actively about these programs. Work is also underway to increase the number of places in student dormitories and improve living conditions there. The Government has already adopted a program to restore student dormitories, and the Ministry of Education and Science must now work with local communities to implement it.

Georgia:

A lot of people attended Day 661 of #GeorgiaProtests, the traditional Saturday march.

“Until the end!” — people chant at the back of Parliament.

📷 unidentified

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:53 PM

Georgian restaurants these days:

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:06 AM

North Korea:

Russia is disguising North Korean workers as “students” to circumvent sanctions and employ them in its drone industry, – Bloomberg.

Up to 25,000 North Koreans could eventually work in Russia’s drone sector, including at Alabuga in Tatarstan, where Russia produces attack drones.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 9:10 PM

North Korean overseas workers may have generated as much as $800 million for Pyongyang in 2025, with much of their earnings taken by the regime and helping fund its nuclear and missile programmes.

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 9:10 PM

♻️So the cycle is becoming increasingly clear:

North Korean labour helps Russia build weapons for its war against Ukraine. Russia provides money and resources to North Korea. And that money helps finance North Korea’s own military programmes.

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) September 18, 2026 at 9:10 PM

The EU:

🇪🇺🇺🇦 Ursula von der Leyen said that the funds remaining from SAFE program (€150 billion in loans to EU countries) would be used to launch a new program of joint defense projects with Ukrainian companies.

🚀 European Commission spokesman clarified: “Currently, we can count on at least €10 billion.”

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Moldova:

Moldova’s border service says multiple drones violated the country’s airspace overnight, at least three. It also says a drone crashed in the morning about 1.5 to 2 km from the Ukraine–Moldova border near the Ukrainian village of Troitske.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 12:01 PM

Poland:

🇺🇦 Zelensky: Our enemy is Russia — for Ukraine, for independence, for democracy. And if this is about democracy, about Europe, then it is a common enemy for 🇵🇱Poland as well.

In such cases, we need unity not only with Poland, but with all of Europe.

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:24 PM

Even assuming Tusk’s figure of 27K losses per month is accurate, the ratio of killed to wounded is a factor. Russia, with a killed/wounded ratio of 1:2. would suffer 300-400 KIA per day. Ukraine, with a ratio of 1:8, would suffer around 100 KIA per day. www.uawire.org/polish-pm-wa…

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 1:35 PM

A terrible toll, but as ever the “peace-loving” fascist Russia fans are distorting the facts to say it is even more terrible, and that Ukraine should surrender.

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 1:35 PM

From UAWire:

On September 17, 2026, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk addressed the Sejm, warning of escalating hybrid threats from Russia and a sharp increase in Ukrainian losses due to new Russian strike tactics. According to Tusk, Ukraine is reportedly losing 27,000 soldiers per month—a figure he called a “grim record.” His comments came a day after a Russian drone struck a train just two kilometers from the border. The full video and transcript of Tusk’s remarks on the war in Ukraine were posted on the Polish parliament’s portal.

Tusk said he received the casualty data directly from Ukrainian officials. He attributed the rising losses to the deployment of new rocket-powered drones by the Russian armed forces and their increasingly active use. “The new Russian strategy—above all, new technical capabilities, in other words, kamikaze drones—means significantly higher losses for the Ukrainians,” Tusk said. “Our Ukrainian partners informed me that recently 27,000 people have died every month, which is, unfortunately, an all-time record in this war in the saddest possible sense.”

Tusk’s speech also addressed broader Russian threats to Ukraine, Poland, and the rest of Europe. He said the information on Ukrainian losses was based on intelligence reports. The coming late autumn and winter of 2026-2027 will be a “critical period for the entire Russian-Ukrainian war,” he said. The main threat will come from rocket-powered drones—which he described as faster and flying at higher altitudes—as well as ballistic missile attacks. In response to the missile threat, Poland is joining the Anti-Ballistic Coalition.

According to Tusk, the Kremlin will focus strikes on six major Ukrainian cities, though he did not specify which, and will target railways—an estimated 300 locomotives have reportedly been destroyed in recent weeks—and warehouses holding critical defense supplies. Tusk said Russia’s aim is “to block supply lines, destroy road and rail crossings, and disrupt border operations.” He added that Moscow is also conducting “chaotic” hybrid attacks in Europe “to undermine NATO and cast doubt on the reliability of protection under Article 5.”

On September 16, Polish media reported that the Polish government held a meeting in response to a heightened threat of attack from Russia.

Here’s the full video of Tusk’s address to the Sejm:

France:

🇫🇷🤔 Le Pen criticized Russia after Putin ordered to take control of the assets of European companies that still operate in Russia.

“No provocation, no secret operation, and no destabilizing actions will be able to force France to help Russia achieve its military goals in Ukraine,” Le Pen said.

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— Savchenko Volodymyr (@savchenkoua.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 12:46 PM

I guess Putin stopped making payments to LePen and her party.

🇫🇷 Le Monde: Anonymous French Defense Ministry source says France is already conducting covert conventional military operations against Russia.

When asked if Paris could retaliate militarily without announcing it, the source replied: It’s already happening.

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— Savchenko Volodymyr (@savchenkoua.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 2:39 PM

Denmark:

🇩🇰🤝🇺🇦 Denmark is providing an extraordinary, 31st, package of military assistance to Ukraine worth about 275 million USD.

These funds will be used to strengthen Ukraine’s air defense capabilities during the critical autumn-winter period.

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— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 2:35 PM

Canada:

🇨🇦🇪🇺🇺🇦 Canada wants to join the €90 billion loan for Ukraine

Canada and the EU are holding technical consultations on Ottawa’s participation in the loan program. If an agreement is reached, Ukraine will be able to buy weapons and ammunition from Canadian manufacturers with these funds.

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 4:29 PM

The total loan is €90 billion: €60 billion is provided for military aid, another €30 billion for budget support. Canada can pay up to €3 billion in interest on the loan.

— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 4:29 PM

Mark Carney: “I would now like to inform you that the teleprompter has ceased to function. Unlike a certain world leader, I do not view this as a conspiracy.”

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— Hoodlum 🇺🇸 (@nothoodlum.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM

That’s gonna leave a mark.

The US:

US State Dept OK’d a possible $2.68B air defense package for Ukraine, longer-range systems, mobile launchers, counter-drone radars, spares, software, support. Ukraine would pay with European contributions and previously allocated US FMF funds.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:34 AM

How much, if any, of that stuff is actually left in inventory is anyone’s guess at this point.

From The Department of Justice’s Office of Public Affairs:

Members of Russian Intelligence Services Network Charged with Conspiring to Finance Terrorism and Commit Murder for Hire in the United States

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

The Department of Justice announced today the unsealing of charges against five individuals working for the intelligence services of the Russian Federation to conduct attacks and murders around the world, including in the United States. As detailed in the unsealed indictment, the network is alleged to have, among other things, paid and attempted to pay individuals within the United States and elsewhere to conduct pre-operational surveillance and carry out targeted killings, and commissioned associates to commit and attempt to commit acts of terrorism against civilian and military infrastructure in European countries that are aligned, or perceived to be aligned, with Ukraine. The defendants remain at large.

“It is our job to stop America’s adversaries from unleashing violence and terror on American soil,” said Attorney General Todd Blanche. “And that’s precisely what we are doing thanks to the work of the FBI and our Justice Department prosecutors.”

“The charges announced reveal an alleged plot by the Russian intelligence services to murder a dissident on U.S. soil for daring to speak out against the Russian government,” said FBI Director Kash Patel. “As alleged in the indictment, this plot exposes the lengths to which our adversaries will go to silence its critics and illustrates the grave threat transnational repression poses to the lives and freedoms of all who challenge authoritarian regimes. The FBI is committed to defending the free speech of everyone within our homeland and will not tolerate any attempts by foreign governments to violate our laws and threaten our freedoms.”

“These defendants allegedly operated as part of a global assassination network that reached into the United States, attempting to recruit U.S. citizens and foreigners to carry out killings at the behest of the Kremlin,” said Assistant Attorney General for National Security John A. Eisenberg. “Actions like these represent a gross violation of our sovereignty and a threat to our national security. We will stamp out any foreign intelligence services’ attempt to operate freely in our great Nation, and we will not rest until they and their enablers suffer the most severe consequences that federal law can levy.”

“We will not tolerate efforts to finance terrorist activities and engage in acts of violence — particularly when these activities are commissioned by state actors and touch American soil,” said U.S. Attorney Jamie McDonald for the Southern District of New York. “As alleged, the defendants, working for the intelligence services of Russia, conspired to cause destruction and mayhem around the world, including right here in the United States. The Russian-led network charged in today’s indictment is brazen, aggressive, and far-reaching, and the charges levied against the defendants should send a clear message: no matter where you are, and no matter who you work for, we will investigate and prosecute you for your crimes. I thank our partners at the FBI who work tirelessly to protect our communities and am grateful that our law enforcement partners neutralized this deadly and outrageous threat.”

“As alleged in this indictment, members of the Russian Intelligence Services and their affiliates conspired to intimidate, threaten, or murder people on U.S. soil and around the world,” said Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI New York Field Office James C. Barnacle Jr. “The FBI disrupted this operation through relentless work and rock-solid partnership. The FBI is committed to confronting transnational repression wherever it occurs and protecting those targeted for exercising their fundamental rights. We thank the multiple FBI Field Offices and the U.S. Attorney’s Office whose coordination and commitment made this disruption possible.”

“The charges announced today represent the culmination of extraordinary work by multiple FBI field offices, components, and partner agencies that collectively disrupted Russia’s attempts to conduct violent acts in our nation’s capital and throughout the United States,” said Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI Washington Field Office Darren B. Cox. “When this threat was identified, the Washington Field Office and our partners moved quickly to disrupt the plot and hold the Russian government accountable for its actions. Our message is clear: any foreign intelligence service that attempts to direct violence inside the United States will face an unrelenting and coordinated response from the FBI and our partners to protect the homeland.”

As reflected in the indictment unsealed today:

Since at least 2024, a network of individuals working for the intelligence services of the Russian Federation (the “RIS Network”) has conspired to conduct and conducted attacks and murders around the world, including within the United States. The RIS Network is one arm of the Russian Federation’s apparatus to carry out external attacks, including murder, and has focused on Russian dissidents and defectors and, most recently, on nations perceived as allies of Ukraine. Most recently, members of the RIS Network have attempted to recruit multiple individuals within the United States to carry out pre-operational surveillance and murder within this country.

Three of the defendants are high-ranking members of the RIS Network. Those three defendants are: Yuri Khrameev, also known as “Colonel Yuri,” 63, of Russia, a former colonel in the Russian intelligence services who has participated in the recruitment of multiple individuals to commit murder against perceived Russian dissidents; Kirill Khrameev, 27, of Russia, an officer in the Federal Security Service of Russia (FSB) and Yuri Khrameev’s son; and Oemis Romagoza Durruthy, 35, a Cuban national who is an influential member of the Cuban diaspora living in Russia who has coordinated attacks for the RIS Network. Two additional members of the RIS Network who are charged in the indictment are Yaidel Delgado Suarez, also known as “Viking,” 35, of Cuba, who is a prolific recruiter for the RIS Network and who has recruited or attempted to recruit multiple individuals in the United States; and Angel Eduardo Castro, 22, of Venezuela, who participated with Suarez in the recruitment of U.S.-based individuals to surveil and attempt to murder a prominent U.S.-based Russian dissident (Victim-1).

The RIS Network has allegedly carried out or conspired to carry out multiple schemes around the world. Most recently, this summer, the RIS Network recruited an individual based in the United States (U.S. Resident-1) to surveil and murder a prominent Russian dissident they believed to be residing in the United States. Among other things, Suarez sent U.S. Resident-1 two locations associated with Victim-1 to surveil; provided U.S. Resident-1 with explicit instructions on how to conduct surveillance; and promised U.S. Resident-1 between $1,000 and $1,500 dollars to carry out the pre-operational surveillance. In turn, U.S. Resident-1 conducted the requested surveillance and passed back to Suarez multiple photographs and videos of locations associated with Victim-1. Suarez and Castro further offered U.S. Resident-1 $40,000 to “eliminate” or “disappear” Victim-1 and, when U.S. Resident-1told them that he did not want to carry out the murder by his own hand, asked U.S. Resident-1 if he knew “someone [who] can do the work.” Suarez also told U.S. Resident-1 that he had “people in Mexico” who could otherwise carry out the murder, but they were delayed in doing so. In addition, Suarez attempted to recruit multiple other individuals within the United States to conduct pre-operational surveillance and murder Victim-1 and other potential targets within the United States and offered them substantial sums of money to carry out the targeting of the U.S. based victims.

The alleged attempted murder of Victim-1 is the latest in the RIS Network’s efforts. Last year, as alleged in the indictment, the RIS Network solicited a U.S. Citizen (U.S. Citizen-1) to surveil and murder an individual located in Lithuania (Victim-2) who the RIS Network described as a “bad guy” who was “telling lies about Russia.” Kirill Khrameev first recruited U.S. Citizen-1 to travel to Victim-2’s purported address and take pictures. After U.S. Citizen-1 accepted and completed the assignment in exchange for a promise of $200, Kirill Khrameev introduced U.S. Citizen-1 to someone he described as his “boss” and a “colonel,” later identified as Yuri Khrameev. Yuri Khrameev then offered U.S. Citizen-1 approximately $25,000 to “kill him” — that is, Victim-2. Yuri Khrameev further told U.S. Citizen-1 that they wanted Victim-2 dead because he was “spreading dirt about my country” and “distorting history.” Yuri Khrameev then sent U.S. Citizen-1 a photograph of Victim-2 and described that he could be murdered by “throwing a bottle of gasoline” or “sticking a knife” in him. After U.S. Citizen-1 declined to carry out the murder, Yuri Khrameev offered to give him a “simpler job” which could include “set[ting] fire to a warehouse of property or food” or “throw[ing] a bottle of gasoline at an electrical substation.” Yuri Khrameev made clear to U.S. Citizen-1 that the purpose was to target “all the countries that are helping Ukraine” and that he was offering “serious money for serious work.” Finally, Yuri Khrameev confirmed that he was a “colonel of Russian intelligence agencies.”

The RIS Network has also allegedly recruited others to carry out acts of terrorism overseas. Oemis Romagoza Durruthy coordinated travel and logistics for the network. In or about June 2024, Durruthy coordinated an attack in Prague, Czechia, including by sending another participant potential attack sites and facilitating that participant’s travel. In or about September 2024, Durruthy coordinated another attack in Lithuania in which he booked travel reservations for another individual involved in the attack and had frequent and ongoing communications with an individual involved in the attack. Durruthy also communicated with Yuri Khrameev in or about November 2025, during which Durruthy obtained media of one of Victim-1’s dwellings, which was ultimately surveilled by U.S. Resident-1 this year.

Yuri Khrameev, Kirill Khrameev, Oemis Romagoza Durruthy, Yaidel Delgado Suarez, and Angel Eduardo Castro are all charged with participating in a conspiracy to finance terrorism (Count One), which carries a maximum penalty of 20 years in prison. Yuri Khrameev, Suarez, and Castro are also charged with participating in a conspiracy to commit murder for hire (Count Two), which carries a maximum penalty of 10 years in prison.

The Counterintelligence Division of the FBI New York Field Office investigated the case, with the significant assistance of the Washington Field Office and Homeland Security Investigations.

Assistant U.S. Attorneys Jeffrey Coyle, Kaylan E. Lasky, Adam Margulies, and Jason A. Richman for the Southern District of New York are prosecuting the case, with assistance from Trial Attorney Andrew Briggs of the Counterterrorism Section of the Justice Department’s National Security Division and Trial Attorney Yifei Zheng of the Counterintelligence and Export Control Section of the Justice Department’s National Security Division.

An indictment is merely an allegation. All defendants are presumed innocent until proven guilty beyond a reasonable doubt in a court of law.

Updated September 16, 2026

🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US Army will purchase Ukrainian Raybird reconnaissance drones under a $10.64 million contract.

Drone can stay airborne for more than 28 hours, cover a range of over 2,500 km, and operate at altitudes of up to 5,500 meters.

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:10 PM

This year, the system received satellite communications, expanding its reconnaissance capabilities beyond line-of-sight and allowing it to maintain control over long distances.

— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:10 PM

Back to Ukraine.

15 Ukrainians were brought back from temporarily occupied areas, aged 49 to 96.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 10:03 AM

The US announced a delay of up to 5 years on missile deliveries to EU allies due to shortages caused by the Iran war.

Meanwhile the Freyja joint anti-ballistic missile program, started by Ukraine, is expected to start testing this year.

Quite a change in a short period of time.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 2:37 AM

Drone alerts in two of fascist Russia’s federal subjects beyond the Ural mountains – Ukraine’s attack drones now have an intercontinental reach.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:46 AM

For the first time, footage has been released showing the successful combat use of Ukrainian jet-powered interceptor drones against Russia’s jet-powered drone, Geran-5 jet-powered kamikaze drone.

The Geran-5 has a reported cruising speed of around 450–600 km/h

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 7:39 AM

Wild Hornets have shown the first combat footage of their new STING S interceptor drone, destroying a Russian jet-powered Geran-5.

The interception was carried out by a crew of the 1020th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment, a unit we have directly supported through our previous fundraising campaigns

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 9:25 AM

Zelensky says the SBU used a new Ukrainian interceptor drone for the second time today, hitting a Russian jet Geran-5. Industrial-scale results are expected closer to mid-November, with early air defense use starting in Sumy and Chernihiv regions.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 1:39 PM

Another video has been published showing a Russian Geran-5 jet-powered drone being destroyed by a jet-powered interceptor drone.

In total, three Geran-5 interceptions were shown today:
• 2 by unnamed jet-powered interceptor drones
• 1 by the new STING S interceptor drone

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 1:10 PM

Aftermath of a strike on a Russian Tunguska air-defense system fitted with a large “hedgehog” anti-drone protective structure.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:52 AM

💥Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces disclosed 26 new Russian air-defense targets hit between September 10–18, bringing the confirmed total for Operation “PPOpad-2026” to 300.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:52 AM

Robert Magyar says USF has destroyed or hit 300 Russian air defense assets since the start of the year, 162 SAM and gun-SAM systems, 124 radar sets, and 14 EW systems.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:39 AM

He says USF hit 24 targets over the past week in the “air defense fall” push. The 300th target was a Buk-M3 launcher near occupied Ukrainska in Zaporizhzhia.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:39 AM

Zelensky adviser Flash says Russia is trying to guide Shahed drones without satellite navigation so EW can’t jam them. One option is ground radio beacons, a drone can fix its location from signals of several points without GPS.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 5:56 AM

He says Russia started working on the idea in 2022 and publicly described its Ariadna beacon navigation system in Dec 2025. He says the project was not shut down and keeps being developed.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 5:56 AM

Flash says Russia is considering Ariadna for Shaheds and KABs. He says it would let them navigate deep inside Ukraine without GPS and despite EW, up to 100 km from the beacons. He adds Ukraine already uses this on recon UAVs.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 5:56 AM

Kyiv:

❗️russia destroyed a massive pet-supplies warehouse near Kyiv overnight.

The 8,000+ m² warehouse belonged to Ukrainian Suziria Group, which includes the MasterZoo pet-store chain and supplies food and products for cats, dogs and other pets across Ukraine.

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— Angelica Shalagina Official🇺🇦 (@angel-shalagina.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:51 AM

Hlevkha, Kyiv Oblast:

Details have emerged regarding a russian strike in the village of Hlevakha, Kyiv Region, that killed two children and a mother:

​In the evening, three families with children were gathered outside near a house. A woman brought two young children inside to put them to bed, and at that

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:12 PM

exact moment, a drone exploded.

Two children born in 2023, a boy and a girl, along with a 39-year-old woman, the boy’s mother, were killed.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:12 PM

Kharkiv Oblast:

In Kharkiv Region 2 people were killed in russian drone attack.

​Late on the evening of September 18, russians targeted the town of Balakliia with attack drones. One of the strikes destroyed a private residential home, trapping an elderly couple: a 74-year-old man and a 71-year-old

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:15 AM

woman beneath the rubble.

​Tragically, they both died.

This terrorism goes on and on every day. Russia keeps killing people in their own homes.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

Russian forces hit Dnipropetrovsk region nearly 40 times, wounding four people. In Dnipro, warehouses, a shopping center, and apartment buildings were damaged, with a 59-year-old man and a 50-year-old woman hospitalized. Two more were injured in the Nikopol area.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 12:08 PM

A shopping mall in Dnipro was left completely destroyed after a Russian strike today. At least 3 people were injured in the attack.

​Russia continues its terrorism every day with strikes on public transport, shops and malls, apartment buildings, and gas stations.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 2:02 PM

Now during the day, when everyone is out and about.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 2:02 PM

Dnipro 💔

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 11:12 AM

Zhytomyr and Rivne Oblasts:

🇺🇦❗️Russia is going to destroy about 20 gas stations in Zhytomyr region and Rivne within 24 hours, – monitoring channel

— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 1:04 PM

Odesa Oblast:

❗️ Russians attacked an enterprise in the Odesa region

The enemy hit the territory of one of the enterprises in the region with a jet UAV. Three tanker trucks were damaged, a fire broke out.

Rescuers have already extinguished the fire. There are no injuries.

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— Savchenko Volodymyr (@savchenkoua.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 12:06 PM

Sumy Oblast:

🤬💔 Four dead: Russian FPV drone hits car in Sumy region!

Among the dead are a 58-year-old man, his 56-year-old wife, a 45-year-old man and a 76-year-old woman.

— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 11:55 AM

Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

💥 HUGE BOOM in Zaporizhzhia region!

Operators of DAD GUR discovered a warehouse with fuel and lubricants and ammunition.

🔥 During the next sortie, this entire strategic reserve turned into a very loud and enchanting event.

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 10:39 AM

Moscow Oblast, Russia:

Moscow region 👀😼

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— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:52 PM

The Republic of Tatarstan, Russia:

Dnipro Osint says Alabuga is building underground Shahed production workshops. It says about 42,000 sq m of underground space is already built, with infrastructure being dispersed and further protected, making strikes harder and more costly.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 6:23 AM

The Autonomous Republic of Dagestan:

Exilenova reports multiple explosions near the port of Kaspiysk in Dagestan.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) September 19, 2026 at 3:56 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today.

Here is some adjacent material.

66 cats, 15 dogs, and three people – all together, they left the Ukrainian city of Sloviansk. A couple ran a family-type animal shelter where they took in dozens of homeless animals and cared for them every day despite the danger.

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— Katerina Horbunova (@blue-eyed.bsky.social) September 17, 2026 at 2:56 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,668: You May Not Be Interested in Putin’s World War, But Putin’s World War Is Interested In YouPost + Comments (36)

Interesting Read: JD Vance Believes in *Nothing*, Not Even JD Vance

by Anne Laurie|  September 19, 20266:51 pm| 140 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Republican Politics, jd vance

the language of a burly abuser but the affect of a soyboy debate club kid just shoved into a locker for reminding the teacher she forgot to assign homework

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— Rude Law Dog (@esghound.com) September 16, 2026 at 11:04 AM

Tater Tots were invented because a frozen-food company was looking for a profitable use of potato off-cuts. JD Vance, if you believe Amy ‘Tiger Mom’ Chua, was invented when she went looking for a marketable product from her Yale Law School off-cuts. (Chop up those vexing leftovers, spray them with a veneer of philosophy, feed the slop through an extruding machine — voila! Tasty pellets of food-grade snacks for the political base!)

She makes a strong argument in Chris Whipple’s Vanity Fair profile, “God and Vance at Yale”:

… A roster of Vance’s YLS class might make you think the country’s run by an Ivy League cabal. Enrolled there, from 2010–2013, were Vivek Ramaswamy, a future presidential candidate, DOGE volunteer, and current candidate for Ohio governor; Elbridge Colby, now an undersecretary at the Pentagon; Michael Ellis, a CIA deputy director; and, of course, JD and Usha. Dan Driscoll, who resigned in September as Trump’s secretary of the Army, graduated in 2014. If Vance becomes president, they could constitute the nucleus of his cabinet. One wag calls the VP’s class “the bizarro world version” of YLS’s storied class of 1973, which included Bill Clinton, Hillary Rodham, Robert Reich (later Clinton’s labor secretary), and Richard Blumenthal (Connecticut’s senior US senator). Justice Clarence Thomas, ’74, was just one year behind…

While attending Chua’s contracts class, Vance signed up for her one-on-one office hours. Vance asked her, “Why are you so nice to me?” Chua was taken aback. “I later realized,” she says, referring to his dysfunctional childhood, “it’s his background. A lot of people weren’t nice to him.” Vance seemed adrift; he didn’t necessarily want a law career and wasn’t sure what he was doing there. “He was a real hillbilly,” says Chua. “He was often completely lost here. He was going to drop out 50 times.”…

Vance’s political ambition was plain as day. “I instantly saw it,” says a close friend. “I’m glad he didn’t lie. I’ve heard many podcasts where people asked him when he became senator or vice president, did you plan this? And I was like, ‘If he lies, I’m going to call him out, right?’ Because he always had that dream.” As for his politics, Vance was a mainstream Republican; he admired Mitch Daniels, the pragmatic and fiscally conservative GOP governor of Indiana and ex-director of the Office of Management and Budget…

Hillbilly Elegy, which would fuel Vance’s meteoric rise, arguably began with an email to Chua soon after his arrival at Yale. Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother had made her famous, but also a pariah. Many saw Chua’s parenting techniques, such as calling her children names and denying them bathroom breaks, as a form of child abuse. (Her daughters, Sophia and Lulu, both Harvard graduates, have defended their mother’s strict methods.) Chua was on her book tour, holed up in a Seattle hotel room after a slew of death threats. Vance had just read a copy of Battle Hymn in the Yale Bookstore. “I just don’t get it,” she says he emailed her. “Why is this controversial? Your girls are lucky. You remind me of Mamaw.” Mamaw, a.k.a. Bonnie Vance, was JD’s gun-toting, Bible-thumping grandmother, whom he deeply respected. Soon, Vance began confiding in Chua about his tumultuous childhood. He attached a few pages of musings that would eventually become his origin story.

Chua immediately saw the makings of a bestseller. “He had a chip on his shoulder, he wanted to prove himself,” she says. “And I was like, ‘You should do this.’” With her guidance Vance wrote about 200 pages. “It literally starts off, ‘My name is JD Vance,’ which is the beginning of Hillbilly Elegy. At that time, it was not political at all. I thought it was just going to be an autobiography.” Vance, according to Chua, kept cluttering up his story with philosophy, possibly as an attempt to incorporate some of the intellectual frameworks he was processing at the time, courtesy of Thiel, Girard, and others. “It was grand theory,” says Chua. “Maybe Gramsci or someone else. And I said, ‘We should just cut that out.’”

Chua connected him with her literary agent, Tina Bennett. Three editors at HarperCollins would ultimately pitch in to help Vance whip the manuscript into shape. And three years after his Yale graduation, Hillbilly Elegy was published. The question was raised: Did Vance actually write the book himself? In his 1960 presidential campaign, John F. Kennedy took credit for Profiles in Courage, a book that, to a significant degree, was written by his aide Ted Sorensen. JFK won a Pulitzer. Was Hillbilly Elegy, I ask Chua, another Profiles in Courage? “No, no, no,” she asserts. “JD is a great writer, a prolific writer. They may have edited it and shaped it, but the part that made the book good was the voice.” The publishing rumor that one of the editors did the lion’s share of the writing is, according to insiders, not true. A person close to the HarperCollins editorial process tells me, “I don’t think there’s an editor who ever worked here who’s not claimed to have written a book. That is how editors make themselves feel better.”

Chua and her husband threw a book party for Vance at their apartment on New York City’s Upper West Side. The swanky guest list included former NBC anchor Tom Brokaw, President Joe Biden’s future national security adviser Jake Sullivan and his wife, Maggie Goodlander (a Chua mentee and future New Hampshire congresswoman), entrepreneur Wendi Deng, and author Patrick Radden Keefe (another Chua protégé). In their toast, Chua and Rubenfeld predicted that Vance would end up in the White House…

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Launched by his Tiger Mother and HarperCollins (which is my book publisher as well), Vance was catapulted into the elite chattering classes; soon he was hobnobbing with VIPs and CEOs at corporate retreats. And that is how Vance met Tucker Carlson, a Fox News host at the time, who would become a friend, political ally—and possible rival for the 2028 nomination. “My friendship with JD has been used to cause him problems, and I feel bad about that,” Carlson tells me during a series of conversations…

At the time [2022], Thiel was one of the few tech billionaires who supported Trump. The mogul saw opportunity in Vance—and vice versa. “It wasn’t like Peter Thiel was some Silicon Valley guy who saw a husky kid from Ohio who wrote a bestseller and said, ‘Let’s make him our token candidate,’” says a longtime Vance observer. “It was also an ambitious but very intellectual author who wanted to get rich.” Both men were taken with René Girard. It was this “bro” philosophical bonding, says this observer, that helped lead “Vance to kind of come around on Trump.” Thiel ponied up a $15 million donation to a PAC supporting Vance’s Senate campaign. The next step was for Vance to make a pilgrimage to Mar-a-Lago…

It’s hard to think of another national politician who so completely changed his stripes. But then again, there’s Richard Nixon. The 37th president, who rose to fame as a fierce anti-communist, shattered that mold when, as president, he forged a historic new relationship between the US and the People’s Republic of China.

In June, just after my conversation with Heilbrunn, Vance visited the Richard M. Nixon Library and spoke favorably of the disgraced ex-president. In today’s social media world, Vance said, the Watergate scandal wouldn’t last more than 12 hours. In fact, the two politicians share other traits: their anger toward elites and their belief in a so-called deep state. And one other thing: Nixon believed in conspiracies. As a California senator, an ally of the virulently anti-communist senator Joseph McCarthy, Nixon had peddled the myth that the US government was riddled with Soviet spies…

What would a Vance presidency look like? It’s hard to discern from Communion. The book appears to be Vance’s first real attempt to emerge from the shadow of the man who—more than Chua or Thiel or Carlson—truly altered his political trajectory. Vance seems to want to be seen as a MAGA leader who’s actually read a book and formulated a worldview. Along with Deneen and Girard, he cites St. Augustine, Thomas Aquinas, C.S. Lewis, G.K. Chesterton, and other religious and political thinkers. The trouble is, he’s drawn no coherent conclusions from all that reading…

MAGA agitator Steve Bannon, for one, doesn’t see Vance as a latter-day sage. Bannon tells me that around the time Vance was converting to Trumpism, he got a phone call from Rebekah Mercer, the GOP mega-donor: “She goes, ‘Peter Thiel just thinks this guy’s amazing. This guy’s going to be the future.’ And I’m sitting there going, ‘Wow. Given his statements that he hates Trump and he hates the white working class’”—in Hillbilly Elegy, Vance argues that many of Appalachia’s downtrodden have themselves to blame—“‘I don’t get it. I think he’s a chameleon and a lightweight.’”…

Bannon believes the Trump-Vance dynamic will only get worse—as the Senate, more frequently, treats the president like a lame duck and the conflict with Iran drags on: “Trump is like the apex alpha male to the alpha males, right? He’s like Charlemagne—a savage. He demands action, not chitchat. It’s obvious that intimidates JD.” Adds a longtime White House observer: “I just don’t see how Vance shapeshifts out of this one. Because he also can’t leave—unlike Rubio and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. They could both leave the administration and hit the campaign trail.” Politically speaking, Vance is joined at the hip with a president whose policies, according to pollsters, are unpopular—if not anathema—to a majority of American voters…

There’s a lot more to mull there (none of it, to my mind, encouraging) — read the whole thing.

If anything, I think it's typical of elite perspectives. Believing in things is a sign of mediocrity & suspect motivations

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— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) September 16, 2026 at 2:58 PM

Of course, current indicators do not encourage immediate success for JD Vance, Human Tater Tot, in the 2028 primaries…

JD Vance speaks to dozens of people today in Iowa
(via REUTERS)

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) September 18, 2026 at 3:34 PM

Interesting Read: JD Vance Believes in *Nothing*, Not Even JD VancePost + Comments (140)

Small Site Fundraiser for some “Out of Scope” additions to the Site Rebuild

by WaterGirl|  September 19, 20266:45 pm| 52 Comments

This post is in: Balloon Juice, Open Threads, Site Maintenance

Hey everybody!

The site programmer and I have added a few things to the original plan for the site rebuild.

And of course, new features require more programming time, which requires more dollars.

You can see a couple of the new features in this screen cap.

The Aa lets you select text size for the site.

The bell tells you if there are unseen replies to comments from you.

I’ll tell you about one more feature, not shown: the # of new comments added since you last refreshed the page.

We are looking to raise $2,500 for the new additions.

So these are the options:

Venmo
Zelle
PayPal
paper check

Details at the link below.

Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

 

*If you could drop me an email to let me know the amount if you are contributing, that would allow us to know once we get to the magic amount.

 

Small Site Fundraiser for some “Out of Scope” additions to the Site RebuildPost + Comments (52)

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